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The pick — Golden Knights-Lightning OVER 6 goals (-115, BetMGM)
Vegas and Tampa Bay have combined to win three of the last five Stanley Cups, and both are off to great starts this season.
The Lightning have only played two games after Hurricane Milton postponed one of their matchups against Carolina. The Golden Knights started the season 3-0 but suffered their first defeat Tuesday in a 4-2 loss at Washington.
While Tampa Bay has won both of its contests by the same 4-1 scoreline (which is under this total), Vegas has gone over twice and pushed once. The Lightning have shown they can score and will get a stiff test on defense from the Golden Knights, so the over is the play.
BetAlytics’ model is projecting 6.19 goals, which makes me feel even better laying the -115 for the scoring fest in Florida.
Bonus pick — Tage Thompson OVER 3.5 shots on goal at Blue Jackets (-110, BetMGM)
The Sabres forward has consistently been at the three-shot mark in four of his five games, and he registered five in the other contest. Also, Columbus has the fifth-worst save percentage.
Thompson will likely be even more motivated to shoot as he looks to light the lamp for the third-straight game. BetAlytics projects Tage for 4.05 shots, so -110 is incredible value.
Season record: 4-3, +2.85 units