Multiple times each week, The Gaming Juice’s resident action seeker, Brad Evans, will attempt to blast the ‘books with his favorite selections on sides, totals, props, teasers or parlays. As always, fade or follow Brad’s picks — fading is encouraged — but that’s up to you.
Trey Murphy III OVER 2.5 made threes vs. Lakers (+105, BetMGM)
BetMGM offers:
With the NBA Play-In Tournament about to commence, a trey bomb — or preferably three — are in order for Tuesday’s Lakers-Pelicans game in New Orleans.
A healthy Brandon Ingram and Naji Marshall limit Murphy’s usage in the Pels rotation. Despite coming off the bench, the Virginia product should earn considerable playing time against L.A., likely in the 25-30 minute range.
[ More NBA Play-In Tournament: Warriors vs. Kings prediction ]
Displaying fiery fingers in April, the white-hot forward has averaged 3.8 perimeter makes on 8.9 attempts, good for a 42.3% hit rate. He’s also converted three or more triples in five straight games, including a trio of equalizers against the Lakers last Sunday.
Toss in the fact that L.A. has surrendered the fifth-most made threes over its last 15 contests (14.3 per game), and the wager, at plus money no less, becomes all the more appealing.
Appropriately enough, the THIRD should rain what’s needed from outside.
SGP: Warriors +7.5, Domantas Sabonis 10+ rebounds, Sabonis 8+ assists (+150, BetMGM)
BetMGM offers:
Sands in the hourglass are running thin. Betting on Sacramento’s premier paint patroller was a pastime for yours truly in the regular season. Individual game numbers, SGP combinations, futures — it didn’t matter. He was a King who graciously served his people with winning wagers.
Against the intrastate rival Warriors in the Play-In Tournament, creatively extracting value in the SGP market is the best way to approach Sabonis angles.
On the rebounds side, he has topped the needed number in 61 of his last 62 games. Do you require another reason? That’s rhetorical.
As for assists, Sabonis has dished out eight or more dimes in three of four regular-season contests against Golden State. Hitting the over in four of his last eight April tuneups for the postseason, he should have little difficulty delivering crisp passes against a Warriors team that’s No. 14 in most opponent assists allowed per game in their last 15 contests.
Finally, as Joe Lago passionately argued, the Warriors should, at a minimum, be highly competitive on the road. The two teams split the regular season series 2-2. And the Dubs finished No. 4 in NET efficiency in their final 15 games. Sacramento landed at No. 13 over that stretch.
Stay alive, my sweet, sweet prop prince. I need more action.